Latest news is that
Russia will expand both of the remaining motorized rifle brigades of
the 58th Combined Arms Army into full strength divisions.
This would mean that the army would have three full divisions of
mechanized forces with heavy artillery and missile support. At the
same time when the brigades are being upgraded, “Other units of the
58th Army” will be moved from their traditional posts in
the Northern Caucasus further into west.
T-90S tanks (Photo: Some Russian propaganda outlet) |
There is no schedule
for the transition, but as Chechnya is relatively calm under the iron
grip of Kremlins pet attack dog Kadyrov, the already full strength
42nd Motorized Rifle Division, that was expanded in 2016,
could begin its relocation at a moments notice.
Not that long ago the Russian armed forces transited largely to a brigade structure, very similar to that of the western armies. Next iteration
of this concept were the Battalion Tactical Groups that are agile
independent units, with integral indirect fire components and high operational
flexibility.
Russia has been
operating with a limited Battalion Tactical Group concept in Syria
and by all accounts the force there has been an effective one on the few
occasions it has engaged in a proper combat. On the other hand the
experiences from Ukraine have shown, that even a brigade sized
formations can be crippled in a short amount of time. A brigade is
also unable to foray deep into the enemy territory as, it lacks the
necessary infantry forces to hold a prolonged line of contact against
an enemy that is capable of both maneuvering and using indirect fire.
For the last two
years, Russia has been re-establishing division sized motorized
rifle formations to all of it’s military districts. Some of them
have been expansions of existing brigades, some are entirely new
formations like the 150th Motorized Rifle Division, that
is aimed rather directly against Ukraine.
The Russian army has
spent considerable amount of resources in to the modernization of its
command and communications systems. A new digital broadband
communications network has been tested in military district wide
exercises and even the backwater district in the far east is now
being upgraded with the latest communications gear. This C3I reform
would be a perfect match with the flexible battalion tactical groups.
Russian mechanized unit on live fire drills during the Zapad17 (Photo: Mordo... Kremlin) |
A force with a
shared information space and small maneuverable units, that can join
into larger ad-hoc formations would be extremely efficient in most
defensive scenarios and low intensity conflicts Russia could
reasonably be forced into. The new systems allow reconnaissance units
to relay targeting information to the massive indirect forces the
Russian formations have in real time.
Why is Russia
seemingly abandoning this concept after a brief experimentation?
Either some parts of the army have been unable to adapt into this
tactical concept. Perhaps the training of the junior officers is not
at par with the increased responsibility a decentralized force forces
them to take. Maybe the heavy logistics train that feeds the hungry
diesel engines of the armored vehicles isn’t capable of coping with
such a complex supply pipeline.
The other option is
that Russia is gearing its military for a big and offensive fight,
where the smaller formations would be decimated before reaching their
objectives. It's possible that the Battalion Tactical Groups will remain inside the divisions and the old regimental structure will only serve as administrative units and when the division is out in the fields the more flexible organization takes over.
Despite all the technological and tactical advances there
is still strength in numbers.
While Russia is returning to bigger formations, we are not at Zapad81 levels yet. (Photo: Poles filming because USSR told them to) |
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